If someone asks you “How long will it take for you to drive home from the grocery store?” you could probably give a very accurate estimate, especially if you made that drive many times before. If they ask you “How long will it take you to fix the facet?”, (and you don’t even know what’s… Continue reading What does a 3-Point Estimate Give Me?
In freshman Physics, students learn not to report more precision in their answers than can be justified by the facts of the problem. Why are project managers still expected to report bogus completion dates that imply estimating precision that we don’t really have? How long does it take you to go from your front door to… Continue reading The Emptiness of Single Point Estimates